The heat output was stable.
Almost all electrical input became recovered heat.
SAUNA. / M4 historical case study
Historical model only. Indicative, not predictive.
M4 case study
M4 is studied as an optional source of recovered compute heat for SAUNA.
The study asks what would have happened if one historical 1.1 kW compute-heat assumption had operated from 2020 to 2025 across selected northern European markets.
The historical calculation uses a 1.1 kW / 60 TH/s benchmark. Current private review may consider Avalon-class or equivalent compute hardware. Professional use is modelled separately by heat demand, operating schedule, site power, acoustics, controls, service access, and responsibility.
It compares electricity input, recovered heat, estimated mining output, and the possible effect on baseline warmth before the sauna stove brings the cabin to bathing temperature.
It is historical only. It is not a forecast and does not define the current M4 hardware basis.
Heat first.
Mining second.
Reviewed before specification.
The principle
A compute module uses electricity. Almost all of that electricity becomes heat.
Where the site can use the heat, M4 may support a lower-temperature thermal layer: baseline warmth, pre-warming, changing-room comfort, or another reviewed heat path.
While producing heat, the module can also perform Bitcoin computation.
The heat output is stable. The mining output is variable.
The sauna stove remains the bathing heater. M4 does not replace the stove. It does not provide final bathing temperature, stones, steam, or löyly.
Model basis
| Market | City | Reference logic |
|---|---|---|
| Denmark | Copenhagen | Core Danish market and route-to-market reference. |
| Sweden | Gothenburg | West-coast Swedish market with relevant private, retreat, and design context. |
| Norway | Oslo | Nordic market with strong cabin, retreat, and electric-heating relevance. |
| Germany | Hamburg | Northern German market aligned with the Denmark / Sweden / Norway route. |
Hamburg is used instead of Munich because it better represents the northern European route-to-market logic for this study.
Wholesale power prices are used for city comparison. They are not customer bills.
A real site cost may include grid fees, taxes, VAT, retail margin, capacity charges, and contract-specific terms.
Physical output
| Schedule | Operating basis | Electricity used | Recovered heat |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Winter baseline | 1.1 kW x 24 h x 180 days | 4,752 kWh / year | ≈ 4,752 kWh / year |
| B. Shoulder season | 1.1 kW x 12 h x 240 days | 3,168 kWh / year | ≈ 3,168 kWh / year |
| C. Conservative support | 1.1 kW x 8 h x 180 days | 1,584 kWh / year | ≈ 1,584 kWh / year |
| D. Continuous reference | 1.1 kW x 24 h x 365 days | 9,636 kWh / year | ≈ 9,636 kWh / year |
All schedules use the same historical 1.1 kW assumption for comparison. They do not define the current M4 hardware basis.
Schedule D is a reference case. It is not the intended use case.
Six-year heat output
| Schedule | Six-year electricity input | Six-year recovered heat |
|---|---|---|
| A. Winter baseline | 28,512 kWh | ≈ 28,512 kWh |
| B. Shoulder season | 19,008 kWh | ≈ 19,008 kWh |
| C. Conservative support | 9,504 kWh | ≈ 9,504 kWh |
| D. Continuous reference | 57,816 kWh | ≈ 57,816 kWh |
The heat side follows electricity input. It does not depend on Bitcoin price.
Private use case
For a private site, the strongest M4 role is readiness.
A private sauna may sit cold for long periods, especially in winter or shoulder seasons.
When the sauna is started from cold, the stove must heat the cabin air, internal surfaces, glass, benches, and surrounding thermal mass before the bathing range is reached.
M4 can support a lower-temperature baseline before the stove is used.
Remote pre-heat does not mean the sauna is brought to bathing temperature. It means M4 may create a warmer starting condition before use, reducing the temperature gap the stove has to close.
The stove completes the final lift to bathing range.
| Private condition | M4 role |
|---|---|
| Cold-start reduction | Supports a warmer starting condition before the stove finishes heat-up. |
| Remote pre-heat | Allows pre-warming before arrival, where controls and safety allow. |
| Changing-room comfort | Supports dressing, transition, cooling down, and return. |
| Shoulder-season use | Makes casual use more practical outside peak winter. |
| More ordered ritual | Supports the sequence of heat, rinse, water, rest, and return. |
The private case is mainly about comfort, baseline readiness, remote pre-heat, and reduced cold-start load. It is not a return calculation.
Professional use case
For a professional setting, M4 may have a more operational role.
A retreat, guest site, showroom, or hospitality setting may have more predictable use patterns than a private home.
The site may need warmth earlier, longer, or more often.
M4 can support a reviewed baseline heat layer around booking windows, changing areas, and repeat use.
| Professional condition | M4 role |
|---|---|
| Repeat guest use | Helps keep part of the system closer to readiness between sessions. |
| Booking windows | Can be matched to planned operating periods. |
| Changing / transition space | Supports comfort before and after bathing. |
| Winter operation | Provides lower-temperature background warmth in cold weather. |
| Energy visibility | Creates a clear model for electricity input, heat output, and compute output. |
| Project responsibility | Forces review of controls, safety, service access, power, and responsibility. |
The professional case is mainly about operating quality. It can support guest readiness, shorter heat-up windows, and a clearer thermal basis. It still depends on site fit.
Baseline heat and stove load
M4 does not create additional heat beyond its electrical input.
1 kWh electricity into M4 ≈ 1 kWh recovered heat
1 kWh recovered heat may displace up to 1 kWh of conventional electric heat where the heat is useful.
Where M4 heat is captured inside the sauna shell, changing-room area, or another reviewed thermal path, it may reduce the cold-start condition.
The stove then heats the remaining temperature difference to bathing range.
This may reduce heat-up time. It may also reduce stove electricity use during final heat-up.
The effect is not automatic. It depends on outside temperature, insulation, ventilation, thermal mass, heat path, controls, timing of use, and how much of the recovered heat is retained.
For this reason, M4 is reviewed before specification.
Useful heat capture
| Capture case | Assumption | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Low | 25% useful capture | Much of the heat is lost, unused, or produced outside the useful window. |
| Medium | 50% useful capture | A clear partial role for pre-warming or changing-room warmth. |
| High | 75% useful capture | A strong heat path with regular use and good retention. |
| Capture case | Useful baseline heat / year | Useful baseline heat, 2020-2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Low | 1,188 kWh | 7,128 kWh |
| Medium | 2,376 kWh | 14,256 kWh |
| High | 3,564 kWh | 21,384 kWh |
This is the thermal basis for cold-start reduction. It should not be added as extra heat. It is the useful portion of the recovered heat.
Mining output
While M4 produces heat, it can also perform Bitcoin computation. That output is variable.
module share of network hashrate x bitcoin issued during the operating period x uptime / pool-fee factor x historical BTC price at the time
| Input | Assumption |
|---|---|
| Module hashrate | 60 TH/s |
| Historical module power | 1.1 kW |
| Uptime / pool-fee factor | 97.5% |
| BTC value | Valued during the operating year |
| BTC held after year end | Not assumed |
| Future BTC price | Not assumed |
The model includes the 2020 and 2024 Bitcoin halvings. The mining result should therefore be read as historical. It is not a forward-looking estimate.
The 1.1 kW module power is part of this historical model only. It is not the current M4 hardware basis.
Historical mining result
| Schedule | Estimated BTC mined | Estimated BTC value at the time | Mining value per recovered kWh |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Winter baseline | 0.258 BTC | €6,686 | 23.5 ct/kWh |
| B. Shoulder season | 0.172 BTC | €4,458 | 23.5 ct/kWh |
| C. Conservative support | 0.086 BTC | €2,229 | 23.5 ct/kWh |
| D. Continuous reference | 0.524 BTC | €13,558 | 23.5 ct/kWh |
This is not a future yield estimate. It is a historical model. The value is calculated as if mined BTC was valued during the operating year, not held into the future.
Effective heat-cost reduction
| Schedule | Recovered heat, 2020-2025 | Conventional electric heat cost at €0.30/kWh | Estimated BTC value | Net effective heat cost | Implied heat cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Winter baseline | 28,512 kWh | €8,554 | €6,686 | €1,867 | 6.5 ct/kWh |
| B. Shoulder season | 19,008 kWh | €5,702 | €4,458 | €1,245 | 6.5 ct/kWh |
| C. Conservative support | 9,504 kWh | €2,851 | €2,229 | €622 | 6.5 ct/kWh |
| D. Continuous reference | 57,816 kWh | €17,345 | €13,558 | €3,786 | 6.5 ct/kWh |
In this historical site-power scenario, the dual-use output reduced the effective cost of recovered electric heat by approximately 78%.
That is the case for dual-use heating. Not that heat has no cost. Not that the result repeats. But that the same electricity produced heat and computation during the period studied.
Wholesale market comparison
| City | Wholesale power cost | Estimated BTC value | Net effective heat cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Copenhagen | €2,690 | €6,686 | -€3,997 |
| Gothenburg | €1,739 | €6,686 | -€4,947 |
| Oslo | €2,129 | €6,686 | -€4,557 |
| Hamburg | €3,003 | €6,686 | -€3,683 |
The negative values do not mean the heat had no cost. They mean the estimated compute output was larger than the modelled wholesale electricity input.
A real site must still account for billed electricity, taxes, VAT, grid charges, hardware, maintenance, controls, uptime, noise, ventilation, service access, and operating responsibility.
How to read the result
The model shows three layers of value.
First, M4 produces stable recovered heat because almost all electrical input becomes heat.
Second, where that heat is captured, it may reduce the cold-start condition and support lower-temperature readiness before the stove brings the sauna to bathing temperature.
Third, while producing that heat, the module may also produce variable Bitcoin mining output.
The strongest case is not mining alone. The strongest case is useful heat with a second output.
What the record shows
Almost all electrical input became recovered heat.
The computation result moved with network conditions and market value.
Wholesale comparison and billed site power are not the same thing.
M4 only becomes relevant where the recovered heat has a real use. If the site cannot use the heat, the case becomes weak. The first question is not mining output. The first question is whether the site can absorb and use the heat.
Customer-facing conclusion
M4 strengthens SAUNA. where the site needs more than bathing heat.
The stove creates the sauna ritual.
M4 can support the surrounding thermal condition: changing, transition, pre-warming, and lower-temperature readiness.
In private use, the value is comfort, readiness, and a reduced cold-start condition.
In professional use, the value is repeatable baseline warmth, guest readiness, and clearer operating logic.
In both cases, the mining output is secondary.
It may reduce the effective cost of useful recovered heat in some periods.
It is variable and not assured.
The business case is strongest where the site already needs the heat.
Final statement
M4 is not a replacement for the sauna stove.
It is not a bathing heater.
It is not suitable for every site.
It is not a return promise.
It is an optional recovered compute-heat module for reviewed lower-temperature use, with hardware reviewed through the project basis.
Where the heat has a clear role, the same electricity can produce two outputs: heat and computation.
Heat first.
Mining second.
Reviewed before specification.
Disclaimer
Historical model only.
Indicative, not predictive.
Wholesale and billed electricity costs differ.
Mining output is variable.
Useful heat capture depends on the site.
No savings are assured.
M4 does not replace the sauna stove.